Elkhart Memorial
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #61
New Haven Semi-State Rank #19
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #4
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 15th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 82.1%
Advance to Regional 99.4%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Ox Bow 4-Way Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/27 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 620 459 563 800 637 644 674 816
Team Adjusted Rating 459 563 607 637 644 674 711
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Ox Bow 4-Way Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
106  Neil Terrell 12 16:38 16:21 17:27 16:45 16:47 16:33 16:37 16:31
529  Teagen Rodriguez 10 17:37 17:11 17:18 17:23 17:35 17:47 18:07
578  Juan Cepero 12 17:41 17:58 17:32 17:38 17:45 17:41 17:36 17:46
588  Luis Cruz-Portillo 11 17:42 17:07 17:10 17:49 17:26 17:33 18:07 18:33
864  Daniel Brown 12 18:07 17:02 17:39 18:29 18:17 18:00 18:21
1,468  Leonard Carranza 12 18:51 18:55 18:46 18:54 18:47 18:56
1,532  David Stansbury 10 18:55 18:19 18:27 18:39 19:11 18:58 19:24
1,586  Abran Cruz-Portillo 10 18:58 19:02 18:29 18:36 18:44 19:14 19:40
Willy Zaldivar 10 19:48 21:01 19:39 20:52 20:14 19:15 19:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 82.1% 15.0 384 0.4 2.2 4.8 10.7 13.4 17.5 15.3 13.8 4.1 0.2
Regionals 99.4% 4.2 128 0.9 38.8 25.8 16.7 8.6 5.7 2.0 0.8 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.7 85 0.9 53.6 26.1 13.1 5.8 0.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Neil Terrell 21.5% 72.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 21.5% 21.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Neil Terrell 100% 32.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.3 1.7 2.1 2.9 2.9 100.0% 100.0%
Teagen Rodriguez 82.5% 109.4 2.2% 29.2%
Juan Cepero 82.2% 115.4 0.8% 20.8%
Luis Cruz-Portillo 82.2% 116.5 0.6% 19.2%
Daniel Brown 82.1% 144.9 0.0% 0.2%
Leonard Carranza 82.1% 170.1 0.0% 0.0%
David Stansbury 82.1% 171.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Neil Terrell 100% 4.8 4.5 6.7 10.9 15.0 15.9 14.9 12.2 8.2 5.9 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Teagen Rodriguez 100% 29.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 3.5 4.3 3.8 100.0% 100.0%
Juan Cepero 100% 31.8 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.9 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.4 3.7 100.0% 100.0%
Luis Cruz-Portillo 100% 32.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.9 1.6 1.8 2.8 3.0 100.0% 100.0%
Daniel Brown 99.4% 48.2 0.1 0.0% 92.0%
Leonard Carranza 99.4% 82.2 0.0% 2.7%
David Stansbury 99.4% 83.4 0.0% 1.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Neil Terrell 3.2 7.9 12.3 23.0 34.1 14.1 6.8 1.6 0.3 0.1
Teagen Rodriguez 15.3 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.2 4.8 5.7 6.8 7.5 8.7 8.3 9.2 8.9 7.5 6.2 5.6 3.8 3.8 2.7 1.7 1.2
Juan Cepero 17.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.6 4.1 4.3 6.0 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.8 8.8 7.4 6.7 7.2 5.3 4.4 3.1 2.8
Luis Cruz-Portillo 17.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.6 4.0 4.8 6.2 7.5 9.4 9.1 7.5 7.1 8.0 6.0 5.2 5.2 3.9 3.5
Daniel Brown 28.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.2 4.0 4.1 5.4 6.3
Leonard Carranza 52.4
David Stansbury 54.0